Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 224.312845 252.281386 283.218879 320.126104 363.147385 411.941370 471.795517
2025-03-16 178.508572 214.417596 257.543168 313.719258 385.799886 476.337858 600.521799
2025-03-23 156.050392 195.502332 245.479573 314.513925 409.129655 536.887498 727.112730
2025-03-30 137.480387 177.865396 231.173451 308.285366 419.718897 579.406314 834.265324
2025-04-06 124.839925 166.001607 222.291070 307.064575 435.475849 629.695658 960.339328
2025-04-13 110.944798 150.695996 206.578887 293.467839 430.156832 646.218588 1034.425223
2025-04-20 106.122412 147.554585 207.607237 304.375196 463.287767 727.604894 1233.714372
2025-04-27 102.404722 145.523674 209.839312 317.057536 500.585104 821.506952 1476.594976
2025-05-04 96.405931 139.451098 205.181386 317.883071 517.624741 882.122277 1668.806048
2025-05-11 89.330863 131.102160 196.127173 310.246367 518.477512 912.481586 1804.849679
2025-05-18 83.399358 124.068944 188.535932 304.202594 521.228702 946.555416 1956.799762
2025-05-25 80.625230 121.837108 188.551344 311.385931 549.596985 1036.528338 2262.336969
2025-06-01 76.577884 117.347910 184.599703 311.348751 564.669621 1103.075873 2534.981904
2025-06-08 71.874191 111.454625 177.800210 305.377309 567.113081 1142.812901 2751.129640
2025-06-15 68.704888 107.902919 174.751134 306.122134 583.467816 1217.121607 3088.432580
2025-06-22 64.795160 102.813959 168.565496 300.099893 584.424929 1254.954755 3330.910388
2025-06-29 61.921291 99.332722 165.007041 298.918655 595.874861 1320.934651 3686.997234
2025-07-06 57.629857 93.100528 155.970808 285.763029 578.433972 1309.604407 3781.328055
2025-07-13 56.810844 92.994035 158.299529 296.316907 617.617077 1456.633330 4496.771262
2025-07-20 56.217352 93.243431 161.298107 308.584600 662.854245 1631.588911 5411.805507
2025-07-27 54.282456 90.905564 159.124665 309.383011 679.725240 1728.347593 6062.104691
2025-08-03 51.555828 86.943301 153.502775 301.996602 674.611081 1757.352090 6430.631244
2025-08-10 49.181510 83.521456 148.743421 296.149922 672.841030 1796.906416 6873.056675